Near the Runaway: The Climate and Habitability of Teegarden’s Star b

Near the Runaway: The Climate and Habitability of Teegarden’s Star b
Ryan Boukrouche, Rodrigo Caballero, Neil Lewis
arXiv:2510.11940v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Teegarden’s Star b, a nearby terrestrial world receiving an Earth-like instellation, is a prime candidate for next-generation observatories targeting temperate exoplanets in their habitable zones. We employ a suite of three-dimensional global climate model (GCM) simulations to (1) map the inner boundary of the habitable zone of Teegarden’s Star b and (2) characterize its surface climate under the assumption of an Earth-analog atmosphere. Our simulations show that, with its most recently estimated instellation of 1481 Wm^-2, Teegarden’s Star b remains below the runaway greenhouse threshold for both low (as=0.07, ocean-dominated) and moderate (as=0.30, land-dominated) surface albedos. However, a different estimate of 1565 Wm^-2 places it beyond the runaway threshold. The result that Teegarden’s Star b is habitable under the most recent instellation measurement reinforces its status as one of the most compelling targets for future habitability and biosignature searches. Given the planet’s proximity to the runaway threshold, it would benefit from a comparative study done with other models using different parameterizations.arXiv:2510.11940v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Teegarden’s Star b, a nearby terrestrial world receiving an Earth-like instellation, is a prime candidate for next-generation observatories targeting temperate exoplanets in their habitable zones. We employ a suite of three-dimensional global climate model (GCM) simulations to (1) map the inner boundary of the habitable zone of Teegarden’s Star b and (2) characterize its surface climate under the assumption of an Earth-analog atmosphere. Our simulations show that, with its most recently estimated instellation of 1481 Wm^-2, Teegarden’s Star b remains below the runaway greenhouse threshold for both low (as=0.07, ocean-dominated) and moderate (as=0.30, land-dominated) surface albedos. However, a different estimate of 1565 Wm^-2 places it beyond the runaway threshold. The result that Teegarden’s Star b is habitable under the most recent instellation measurement reinforces its status as one of the most compelling targets for future habitability and biosignature searches. Given the planet’s proximity to the runaway threshold, it would benefit from a comparative study done with other models using different parameterizations.