Hit or Miss, Arrival Time, and $B_z$ Orientation Predictions of BATS-R-US CME Simulations at 1 AU. (arXiv:1905.08961v1 [physics.space-ph])
Hit or Miss, Arrival Time, and $B_z$ Orientation Predictions of BATS-R-US CME Simulations at 1 AU. (arXiv:1905.08961v1 [physics.space-ph]) <a href="http://arxiv.org/find/physics/1/au:+Schmidt_J/0/1/0/all/0/1">J. M. Schmidt</a>, <a href="http://arxiv.org/find/physics/1/au:+Cairns_I/0/1/0/all/0/1">Iver H. Cairns</a> Using a refined setup process, we simulated the propagation of six observed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) with the 2012 Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) code from the Sun to the Earth or STEREO A and compared the outputs with observations. A linear relation between the average CME speed below 6 solar radii and the flux rope current is demonstrated and used to tune the simulations. The simulations correctly predict if and when an observable CME shock reaches one astronomical unit (AU). TheRead More →